******G-Man's -GOY- Super Bowl Winner - Chiefs/ Niners******

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Season. Year to date: 119-79. (60%) . $+9,660.00

San Francisco vs Kansas city
Lots to consider.
Common opponents with playoff teams are main factors.

What happened in those games. How did they win or lose?
What were the tougher opponents up until this game?
Who was battle-tested the most all season.?


Lets compare a few,
Lions+4 beat KC in week-one in KC 21-20.
KC led 14-7 at the half.

Lions scored on a 50 yd int return to tie it up in the 3rd.
KC had 2 FG's the rest of the game. Lions scored a TD with 7 min remaining to win.
Chiefs never got close enough to win it with a fg.

SF -7 beat Detroit - but was getting run over with the Lions run game.
A second half defensive adjustment shutout Detroit in the 2nd half except for a back door TD with seconds on the clock.
Summary: Chiefs wwre underachieving in week one and continued to score less than the season earlier as the year went on.

SF loses toBaltimore 33-19 in week. 14. Niners had 5 int's to lose badly, More important fact was the Niners had way more yardage in the loss. SF out gained Ravens by 110 yds. Calculate that into the performance and remove the 5 turnovers and SF wins easily.

Chiefs beat Balt in Balt in a tight game 17-10. Both scores were the lowest of both teams in a playoff game. (The Week before, Ravens rolled up 34 vs Houston. But Ravens were held to only 10 points in the first half). An indicator that a better defense could possibly beat Baltimore - which KC did.

KC lost to Green Bay 19-27.
SF beat GB 24-21.

How did they get here...
Chiefs played 3 teams with winning records at the time they played during the season before the playoffs started. They got here on a fairly weak schedule.
Those teams were Miami (6-2) Jacksonville(1-0) and Philly (8-1). None of the other teams had winning records during the regular season when KC played them.

SF played 6 teams with winning records. Rams (1-0), Dallas (3-1), Jacksonville (6-2) Seattle (6-4), Philly (10-1) Balt (11-3).

Who was battle-tested the most?
Niners were 5-1 su against those teams
.
Chiefs were 2-1 SU against the teams they played.
Note: SF beat Philly 42-19.
While KC lost 17-21while being shut out in the second half - with a 17-7 halftime lead.

KC lacks a good running game.
Niners have McCaffrey, who could be MVP?
Both teams have great Tight Ends but Kelce is just better.
Niners run defense (3.8yds/Run) is better than KC(4.5).

Niners are superior on offense with #3 run game and #4 passing game while
KC is #17 running and #8 passing.
Based on level of competition - SF is better.

SF is the best defensive team the Chiefs have faced all season. Even better than Baltimore.
Baltmore was held to 110 yards less than what SF gained in the Ravens game when SF had 5 turnovers. Thats the secret ingredient in what decides this game.

The Ravens had 3 turnovers against KC and that big
fumble by Flowers at the 1 yard line to change the outcome of that game.

My GOY Play.

SF ML (-130). 25 units. (waiting on Injury updates).
Will confirm bet on next updated injury report. Making sure Samuel, Kittle, McCaffrey and Purdy are all healthy.
May add some half-time bets(1&2) and total before game time.
It was a great
season.
Thanks for all the feed back.

Best of luck to all.
 
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I came to the forum today looking to see.if anyone was yet making the case for SF, and here this is. Appreciate the write up. Mahomes will always be tough to overcome, but it's been done before. I think keys to the game for SF is success running the ball (win time of possession and keep Patty off the field) and red zone defense.
 

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Season. Year to date: 119-79. (60%) . $+9,660.00

San Francisco vs Kansas city
Lots to consider.
Common opponents with playoff teams are main factors.

What happened in those games. How did they win or lose?
What were the tougher opponents up until this game?
Who was battle-tested the most all season.?


Lets compare a few,
Lions+4 beat KC in week-one in KC 21-20.
KC led 14-7 at the half.

Lions scored on a 50 yd int return to tie it up in the 3rd.
KC had 2 FG's the rest of the game. Lions scored a TD with 7 min remaining to win.
Chiefs never got close enough to win it with a fg.

SF -7 beat Detroit - but was getting run over with the Lions run game.
A second half defensive adjustment shutout Detroit in the 2nd half except for a back door TD with seconds on the clock.
Summary: Chiefs wwre underachieving in week one and continued to score less than the season earlier as the year went on.

SF loses toBaltimore 33-19 in week. 14. Niners had 5 int's to lose badly, More important fact was the Niners had way more yardage in the loss. SF out gained Ravens by 110 yds. Calculate that into the performance and remove the 5 turnovers and SF wins easily.

Chiefs beat Balt in Balt in a tight game 17-10. Both scores were the lowest of both teams in a playoff game. (The Week before, Ravens rolled up 34 vs Houston. But Ravens were held to only 10 points in the first half). An indicator that a better defense could possibly beat Baltimore - which KC did.

KC lost to Green Bay 19-27.
SF beat GB 24-21.

How did they get here...
Chiefs played 3 teams with winning records at the time they played during the season before the playoffs started. They got here on a fairly weak schedule.
Those teams were Miami (6-2) Jacksonville(1-0) and Philly (8-1). None of the other teams had winning records during the regular season when KC played them.

SF played 6 teams with winning records. Rams (1-0), Dallas (3-1), Jacksonville (6-2) Seattle (6-4), Philly (10-1) Balt (11-3).

Who was battle-tested the most?
Niners were 5-1 su against those teams
.
Chiefs were 2-1 SU against the teams they played.
Note: SF beat Philly 42-19.
While KC lost 17-21while being shut out in the second half - with a 17-7 halftime lead.

KC lacks a good running game.
Niners have McCaffrey, who could be MVP?
Both teams have great Tight Ends but Kelce is just better.
Niners run defense (3.8yds/Run) is better than KC(4.5).

Niners are superior on offense with #3 run game and #4 passing game while
KC is #17 running and #8 passing.
Based on level of competition - SF is better.

SF is the best defensive team the Chiefs have faced all season. Even better than Baltimore.
Baltmore was held to 110 yards less than what SF gained in the Ravens game when SF had 5 turnovers. Thats the secret ingredient in what decides this game.

The Ravens had 3 turnovers against KC and that big
fumble by Flowers at the 1 yard line to change the outcome of that game.

My GOY Play.

SF ML (-130). 25 units. (waiting on Injury updates).
Will confirm bet on next updated injury report. Making sure Samuel, Kittle, McCaffrey and Purdy are all healthy.
May add some half-time bets(1&2) and total before game time.
It was a great
season.
Thanks for all the feed back.

Best of luck to all.
May I add in the SF-Balt game SF had 10 penalties and Silverback got hurt! They outgained them by 86 yards. The 85 Bears would get crushed 0-5 in turnovers with 10 penalties to boot! However SF is essentially going up against two teams, Chiefs and the refs. Close game Mahomes is going to get the calls. Good Luck brother!
 

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Nice writing G!!! gl
Thanks Cashflow. I appreciate the feedback.
I came to the forum today looking to see.if anyone was yet making the case for SF, and here this is. Appreciate the write up. Mahomes will always be tough to overcome, but it's been done before. I think keys to the game for SF is success running the ball (win time of possession and keep Patty off the field) and red zone defense.
I agree, Thats how McCaffrey wins the MVP in this. He must run the ball well.

KC dominated Ravens in TOP last game, but did it passing for 39 times with lots of short passes to run the clock and get first downs.
They out-clocked Baltimore, 37 minutes to only 22! and Miami 34-26...BUT were out-clocked badly by Buffalo 37-22.
Thats what should happen when McCaffrey runs well and keeps the ball away from KC.

KC can beat teams with running QB's, because those teams have no other running backs who are effective.
SF is superior with the run and Purdy will also run as well or better than Buffalo w/Allen did vs KC - but - SF has McCaffrey who is the best RB in the league who also can catch passes.
Thanks for the feedback.

I cant see any advantages for KC in this game at all.
Especially if SF turns KC into a one-dimension offense, putting all of the game on Mahomes....
 

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May I add in the SF-Balt game SF had 10 penalties and Silverback got hurt! They outgained them by 86 yards. The 85 Bears would get crushed 0-5 in turnovers with 10 penalties to boot! However SF is essentially going up against two teams, Chiefs and the refs. Close game Mahomes is going to get the calls. Good Luck brother!
So that means youre on SF, right?
The refs wont be an issue for this game. Those cheating bastards were eliminated from the playoffs after they stole the game from Detroit in Dallas..
 

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Good luck all good points to take niners
People that bet KC the last 2 games all had good points too
 

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Well done G-Man! GL!
 

my clock is stuck on 420 time to hit this bong
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like it gman . makes sense seems like the chum bucket full of kc
 

Time2shine
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.
Mahommes defys all logic though - every time- Ask Buffalo and Balt.
To be the Man- you got to Beat the Man!
GL - Great information !
 

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.
Mahommes defys all logic though - every time- Ask Buffalo and Balt.
To be the Man- you got to Beat the Man!
GL - Great information !
Thanks 22. Appreciate the feedback.
He is great but they still dont have the run game SF has which is where the difference comes in..
 

my clock is stuck on 420 time to hit this bong
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Thanks 22. Appreciate the feedback.
He is great but they still dont have the run game SF has which is where the difference comes in..
Pachycephalosaurus is pretty dam good
 
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I don’t know..POP is so fast the camera couldn’t catch him :running::running:
7C90563F-B2C8-4DFA-8221-CECF4C612B32.jpeg
 

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ot-pardon my ignorance, but besides all of the side events going on today, not that I would bet on it, but is there an actual Probowl

game going on today and if so what is the betting line on the side and total??

Unless I missed something, at my online sportsbook, I see a line only for the SB but nothing for today.

Can someone help me out??

tia
 

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Pick a total and play. No one wants to win or cares...Its just a show...LOL
 

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